Menu
Bar Chart Icon
Charts
All
Stocks>
Bonds>
Gold>
Economy>
Real Estate>
Commodities>
Crypto>
Weekly Macro Report The Macro Compass S&P 500 PE Ratio The Buffett Indicator: Market Cap to GDP Stocks vs. Gold and Silver Stocks vs. Bonds The 60/40 Portfolio Cyclical vs. Defensive Sectors Market-cap Weight vs. Equal Weight Growth vs. Value Stocks Large-cap vs. Small-cap Stocks Nasdaq to S&P 500 Ratio US Stocks vs. The World Emerging vs. Developed Markets Home Price to Income Ratio The Real Home Price US Stock Market Sectors Fama & French 5-Factor Model Factor Investing Thematic Investing: Megatrends Foreign Exchange Rates Cryptocurrencies Commodity Futures MSCI Country Indices Worldwide GDP Comparison The Business Cycle Stocks to Commodities Ratio Stocks vs. Real Estate Dow to Gold Ratio Bitcoin vs. Gold Bitcoin vs. Nasdaq 100 Bitcoin vs. M2 Money Supply Ethereum vs. Bitcoin Real Estate to Gold Ratio Copper to Gold Ratio Gold to Oil Ratio Gold to Silver Ratio US Debt to GDP US Yield Curve Bond Yield Credit Spreads M2 Money Supply Growth vs. Inflation Breaking Down US Inflation The Real Interest Rate Gold vs. Real Yields Mining Stocks vs. Gold & Silver S&P 500 Dividend Yield Developed Markets Emerging Markets Frontier Markets
S&P 500 PE Ratio The Buffett Indicator: Market Cap to GDP Stocks vs. Gold and Silver Stocks vs. Bonds The 60/40 Portfolio Cyclical vs. Defensive Sectors Market-cap Weight vs. Equal Weight Growth vs. Value Stocks Large-cap vs. Small-cap Stocks Nasdaq to S&P 500 Ratio US Stocks vs. The World Emerging vs. Developed Markets US Stock Market Sectors Fama & French 5-Factor Model Factor Investing Thematic Investing: Megatrends MSCI Country Indices The Business Cycle Stocks to Commodities Ratio Stocks vs. Real Estate Dow to Gold Ratio Gold to Oil Ratio Mining Stocks vs. Gold & Silver Bitcoin vs. Nasdaq 100 S&P 500 Dividend Yield Developed Markets Emerging Markets Frontier Markets
The Macro Compass Stocks vs. Bonds The 60/40 Portfolio US Yield Curve Bond Yield Credit Spreads M2 Money Supply Growth vs. Inflation Breaking Down US Inflation The Real Interest Rate S&P 500 Dividend Yield
The Macro Compass Stocks vs. Gold and Silver Commodity Futures Dow to Gold Ratio Bitcoin vs. Gold Real Estate to Gold Ratio Copper to Gold Ratio Gold to Oil Ratio Gold to Silver Ratio Gold vs. Real Yields Mining Stocks vs. Gold & Silver
The Macro Compass Worldwide GDP Comparison The Business Cycle US Debt to GDP US Yield Curve Bond Yield Credit Spreads M2 Money Supply Growth vs. Inflation Bitcoin vs. M2 Money Supply Breaking Down US Inflation The Real Interest Rate
Home Price to Income Ratio The Real Home Price Stocks vs. Real Estate Real Estate to Gold Ratio Bond Yield Credit Spreads
Stocks vs. Gold and Silver Commodity Futures The Business Cycle Stocks to Commodities Ratio Copper to Gold Ratio Gold to Oil Ratio Gold to Silver Ratio Mining Stocks vs. Gold & Silver
Cryptocurrencies Bitcoin vs. Gold Bitcoin vs. Nasdaq 100 Bitcoin vs. M2 Money Supply Ethereum vs. Bitcoin
Profile Icon
Membership
Upgrade Your Account
This feature requires a membership
Go to Profile
LongtermTrends
Log in
Charts
Membership

The Antidote to Financial Hype.

You don't need to be brilliant. You just need to avoid certain mistakes. We help you avoid the expensive unforced errors that destroy wealth.

+
Monthly Visitors
+
Newsletter Subscribers

Create an Account

The Game Is Rigged. Win Anyway.

The financial industry sells Complexity and Activity. We sell Simplicity and Endurance. Great investors focus on survival, not just returns. Humans aren't spreadsheets. We build systems that allow you to be human while ensuring you don't blow up.

Avoid The Wealth Destroyer For Your Stage

No matter where you are in your journey, you face a specific enemy.

For The Wealth Builder

You are still accumulating, but inflation is a hidden tax on your hesitation. Don't let your cash rot while you wait for the "perfect" moment. We help you get off the sidelines with a system that is Simple, Cheap, Safe, and Easy, and help you plan to Retire Early.

For The Wealth Preserver

You have won the game. Now you must survive it. Unforced errors destroy empires. Join a network that helps you stress-test your thesis before you make the bet.

Community Membership

Free
$0
checkView Charts Pages
check
Get a Quarterly Chart Brief
check
Join Discord Server
check
Investment Co-Pilot
check
FIRE Agent (Retire Early)
cross
Weekly Macro Report
cross
Macro Compass
cross
Access Comment Sections
cross
Bi-Weekly Meetups
cross
Exclusive Channel on Discord
cross
Download Chart Data
cross
API Access
cross
Private Consultations
Pro
Monthly Yearly
$10 $15 /month
checkView Charts Pages
check
Get a Quarterly Chart Brief
check
Join Discord Server
check
Investment Co-Pilot
check
FIRE Agent (Retire Early)
checkWeekly Macro Report
checkMacro Compass
checkUnlock Comment Sections
checkBi-Weekly Meetups
checkExclusive Channel on Discord
checkDownload Chart Data
checkAPI Access
check30min Private Consultation info30 min private consultation once a year with me, Silvan. Only available with the Yearly plan or after 4 months of the Monthly plan.
Max
Monthly Yearly
$80 $120 /month
checkView Charts Pages
check
Get a Quarterly Chart Brief
check
Join Discord Server
check
Investment Co-Pilot
check
FIRE Agent (Retire Early)
checkWeekly Macro Report
checkMacro Compass
checkUnlock Comment Sections
checkBi-Weekly Meetups
checkExclusive Channel on Discord
checkDownload Chart Data
checkAPI Access
check1h Private Consultation (w/ CFA) info1h private consultations every 6 months with me, Silvan, plus a Certified Financial Advisor (CFA). Only available with the Yearly plan or after 4 months of the Monthly plan.

The Weekly Macro Report

The single page you need to stay up to date. We aggregate the signals, filter the noise, and give you the complete picture in one place.

View Latest Report

The Macro Compass

A research tool for serious investors. Understand exactly which economic regime we are in (Goldilocks, Stagflation, Deflation, or Reflation) so you can tilt the probabilities in your favor.

Explore The Compass

Investment Co-Pilot

An autonomous AI agent acting as your personal fiduciary financial advisor. Built on the Simple, Cheap, Safe, and Easy philosophy from John Y. Campbell's research, the Co-Pilot helps you build a custom Investment Policy Statement (IPS) tailored to your life.

Learn More

How It Works

1
Discovery Phase

Age & Region, Goals (Retirement/Legacy/Liquidity), Wealth Context, Risk Tolerance & ESG

2
Safety Rules

Debt Rule, Liquidity Rule (3mo cash), Housing Rule, Fun Bucket containment

3
Your IPS Document

Asset Allocation, Low-Cost ETFs, Rebalancing Rules, Panic Protocol

FIRE Agent

Achieve Financial Independence and Retire Early (FIRE) with confidence. Plan your precise path using Bill Bengen's updated research (the 4.7% Rule). The FIRE Agent uses deterministic Python calculations with full transparency.

Learn More

How It Works

1
Gather Your Numbers

Age, Income, Expenses, Investments, Home Equity, Pension, Inheritance

2
Multiple Scenarios

4.7% Rule, 4.2% Early Retirement, Die With Zero, Sensitivity Analysis

3
Your FIRE Roadmap

CoastFIRE Status, Pension & Inheritance Impact, Retire Early Calculator

Discord Logo

Join A Network of Independent Minds

Isolation creates blind spots. Join a network of independent minds who stress-test each other's ideas to avoid expensive mistakes.

How our members create value together:

  • Share your research for constructive peer feedback.
  • Share your challenges and engage in thoughtful discussions.
  • Ask for help and collaborate with peers to refine your approach.
  • Get event announcements for meetups and updates.
  • Provide feedback to improve LongtermTrends.
Join Discord Server For Free