Community
The Antidote to Financial Hype.
You don't need to be brilliant. You just need to avoid certain mistakes. We help you avoid the expensive unforced errors that destroy wealth.
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Philosophy
The Game Is Rigged. Win Anyway.
The financial industry sells Complexity and Activity. LongtermTrends is built around Simplicity and Endurance. Disciplined long-term investors earn better returns by avoiding the mistakes that interrupt compounding. We build systems that let you sleep at night.
Target audience
The mistake changes with your stage.
The challenge changes over time. Early on, you need the confidence to start and a system simple enough to keep. Later, the costly mistakes get bigger: fees, taxes, estate planning, concentration risk, and major life decisions all deserve a second set of eyes.
For The Wealth Builder
You are still accumulating. The danger is getting pulled between cash anxiety, market hype, and complicated strategies. Build a simple, low-cost system first, then use evidence to decide what deserves a place in it.
For The Wealth Preserver
You have more to protect. Now you must keep it. Unforced errors destroy empires. Use decision frameworks to stay disciplined, and lean on a peer network that helps you avoid behavioral mistakes.
Membership
Community Membership
Start free. Upgrade when you want tools, reports, and member support built for disciplined long-term investors.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
Flagship publication
The Weekly Macro Report
The single page you need to stay up to date. We aggregate the signals, filter the noise, and give you the complete picture in one place.
View Latest Report →Regime tool
The Macro Compass
See how assets have behaved across different macro regimes. Useful context for allocation decisions, not a market-timing signal.
Explore The Compass →AI planner
Investment Co-Pilot
An AI-powered educational tool built on the Simple, Cheap, Safe, and Easy philosophy from John Y. Campbell's research. The Co-Pilot helps you build a custom Investment Policy Statement (IPS) tailored to your life.
Learn More →
Retirement planning
FIRE Agent
Achieve Financial Independence and Retire Early (FIRE) with confidence. Plan your personalized path using Bill Bengen's updated research (the 4.7% Rule). The FIRE Agent uses deterministic Python calculations with full transparency.
Learn More →
Network
Join a Supportive Network of Long-Term Investors
Stay close to peers who value evidence over hype, patience over FOMO, and disciplined strategies over constant reaction.
How peers help each other stay disciplined
- ✓Discuss markets with like-minded long-term investors.
- ✓Share research for evidence-based feedback.
- ✓Get support when hype or FOMO tests your strategy.
- ✓Pressure-test assumptions before behavioral mistakes get expensive.
- ✓Get event announcements for meetups and updates.