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Weekly Macro Report The Macro Compass S&P 500 PE Ratio The Buffett Indicator: Market Cap to GDP Stocks vs. Gold and Silver Stocks vs. Bonds The 60/40 Portfolio Cyclical vs. Defensive Sectors Market-cap Weight vs. Equal Weight Growth vs. Value Stocks Large-cap vs. Small-cap Stocks Nasdaq to S&P 500 Ratio US Stocks vs. The World Emerging vs. Developed Markets Home Price to Income Ratio The Real Home Price US Stock Market Sectors Fama & French 5-Factor Model Factor Investing Thematic Investing: Megatrends Foreign Exchange Rates Cryptocurrencies Commodity Futures MSCI Country Indices Worldwide GDP Comparison The Business Cycle Stocks to Commodities Ratio Stocks vs. Real Estate Dow to Gold Ratio Bitcoin vs. Gold Bitcoin vs. Nasdaq 100 Bitcoin vs. M2 Money Supply Ethereum vs. Bitcoin Real Estate to Gold Ratio Copper to Gold Ratio Gold to Oil Ratio Gold to Silver Ratio US Debt to GDP US Yield Curve Bond Yield Credit Spreads M2 Money Supply Growth vs. Inflation Breaking Down US Inflation The Real Interest Rate Gold vs. Real Yields Mining Stocks vs. Gold & Silver S&P 500 Dividend Yield Developed Markets Emerging Markets Frontier Markets
S&P 500 PE Ratio The Buffett Indicator: Market Cap to GDP Stocks vs. Gold and Silver Stocks vs. Bonds The 60/40 Portfolio Cyclical vs. Defensive Sectors Market-cap Weight vs. Equal Weight Growth vs. Value Stocks Large-cap vs. Small-cap Stocks Nasdaq to S&P 500 Ratio US Stocks vs. The World Emerging vs. Developed Markets US Stock Market Sectors Fama & French 5-Factor Model Factor Investing Thematic Investing: Megatrends MSCI Country Indices The Business Cycle Stocks to Commodities Ratio Stocks vs. Real Estate Dow to Gold Ratio Gold to Oil Ratio Mining Stocks vs. Gold & Silver Bitcoin vs. Nasdaq 100 S&P 500 Dividend Yield Developed Markets Emerging Markets Frontier Markets
The Macro Compass Stocks vs. Bonds The 60/40 Portfolio US Yield Curve Bond Yield Credit Spreads M2 Money Supply Growth vs. Inflation Breaking Down US Inflation The Real Interest Rate S&P 500 Dividend Yield
The Macro Compass Stocks vs. Gold and Silver Commodity Futures Dow to Gold Ratio Bitcoin vs. Gold Real Estate to Gold Ratio Copper to Gold Ratio Gold to Oil Ratio Gold to Silver Ratio Gold vs. Real Yields Mining Stocks vs. Gold & Silver
The Macro Compass Worldwide GDP Comparison The Business Cycle US Debt to GDP US Yield Curve Bond Yield Credit Spreads M2 Money Supply Growth vs. Inflation Bitcoin vs. M2 Money Supply Breaking Down US Inflation The Real Interest Rate
Home Price to Income Ratio The Real Home Price Stocks vs. Real Estate Real Estate to Gold Ratio Bond Yield Credit Spreads
Stocks vs. Gold and Silver Commodity Futures The Business Cycle Stocks to Commodities Ratio Copper to Gold Ratio Gold to Oil Ratio Gold to Silver Ratio Mining Stocks vs. Gold & Silver
Cryptocurrencies Bitcoin vs. Gold Bitcoin vs. Nasdaq 100 Bitcoin vs. M2 Money Supply Ethereum vs. Bitcoin
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Factor Investing

MSCI World Momentum vs MSCI World Ratio

MSCI World Quality vs MSCI World Ratio

MSCI World Growth vs MSCI World Ratio

MSCI World Value vs MSCI World Ratio

MSCI World Small Cap vs MSCI World Ratio

MSCI World Minimum Volatility vs MSCI World Ratio

MSCI World High Dividend Yield vs MSCI World Ratio

MSCI World Buyback Yield vs MSCI World Ratio

MSCI World Total Shareholder Yield vs MSCI World Ratio

Interpretation

The charts above show the relative strength of each factor index compared to the broader MSCI World Index. A rising line indicates the factor is outperforming the market, while a falling line indicates underperformance.

Further Information

Data Sources

Weekly Macro Report
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MSCI World Factor Indices Overview

Interpretation

The chart above gives a different view of the same data from the ratios above. The list below provides descriptions for each MSCI World Factor Index, highlighting distinct investment strategies and market segments in global equity markets.

  • MSCI World Index includes large and mid cap stocks across 23 Developed Markets. Its market-cap weighting means larger companies have more influence on the index's performance.
  • MSCI World Momentum Index is based on the MSCI World and reflects an equity momentum strategy by highlighting companies with demonstrated positive price momentum.
  • MSCI World Quality Index selects companies with robust financial health and stable earnings, emphasizing high profitability and quality metrics. This contrasts with the Growth Index's focus on future growth potential.
  • MSCI World Growth Index concentrates on companies expected to show above-average growth, targeting firms with potential for significant earnings and revenue increases. It differs from the World Momentum Index, which looks at past performance, by focusing on anticipated growth.
  • MSCI World Value Index focuses on companies with attractive valuation metrics, selecting companies perceived as undervalued relative to their peers.
  • MSCI World Small Cap Index offers exposure to small-cap companies across developed markets, capturing the growth potential of smaller firms.
  • MSCI World Minimum Volatility Index (USD) focuses on reducing the overall risk of the portfolio by selecting stocks that have shown less price fluctuation over time.
  • MSCI World High Dividend Yield Index targets companies offering high dividend yields.
  • MSCI World Buyback Yield Index shifts focus from dividends to stock repurchases as a means of returning value to shareholders. It targets companies with high share buyback ratios.
  • MSCI World Total Shareholder Yield Index combines dividend and buyback yields, focusing on total returns to shareholders from these two channels.

MSCI World Factor Indices Overview (Gross Total Return)

Interpretation

This chart compares the absolute performance of each factor index using MSCI's Gross Total Return (GRTR) data. Unlike a price index, a total return index assumes that all cash distributions, such as dividends, are reinvested. According to the MSCI methodology, the 'gross' index estimates the maximum potential reinvestment without any deductions for taxes, providing a standardized measure of an index's underlying performance.

Correlation Heat Map

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1Y

Interpretation

This heatmap shows how different investment factors, such as Momentum, Value, and Quality, have performed in relation to one another. Red squares indicate a strong positive correlation (factors moving together), while blue squares show a negative correlation (factors moving apart). This is useful for seeing which strategies are complementary; for example, Momentum and Value often exhibit a negative correlation, making them effective diversifiers for each other.

Understanding these relationships helps in building a robust, multi-factor portfolio. By combining factors that have low or negative correlations, investors can smooth out returns and reduce dependency on any single investment style. This aligns with Ray Dalio's "Holy Grail of Investing"—using uncorrelated return streams to lower risk without sacrificing returns.

To create this chart, weekly log-returns are calculated for each factor index, and the Pearson correlation is computed for every pair. The heatmap is then organized using hierarchical clustering to group the most similar factors together, making strategic relationships easier to spot.

Correlation Spanning Tree

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1Y

Interpretation

The Minimum Spanning Tree (MST) simplifies the correlation matrix by showing only the strongest connections between factors. If two factors are linked, they have a strong positive correlation and tend to move in tandem. This helps identify clusters of related assets and is useful for portfolio diversification.
The tree is constructed by converting the correlations into distances and then finding the set of connections that links all factors with the minimum total distance. As noted by Marti, Gautier, et al. (2017), the optimal Markowitz portfolio is often found at the tree's outskirts, and the tree tends to shrink during a financial crisis.


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An error appeared while loading the data. Maybe there is a technical problem with the data source. Please let me know if this happens regularly @silvan_frank.